Competition overview
Champions League
Explore this season's standings, upcoming fixtures and published pre-match analysis.
Season
2026
On this page
Fixtures & standings
Tracked matches
722
Fixtures captured inside the current competition scope.
Prediction accuracy
56%
Settled hit rate from the verified archive only.
Active predictions
0
Upcoming or live league fixtures currently covered by logged outputs.
Featured fixtures
Active competition fixtures ranked by confidence, edge, and current market interpretation.
No fixtures in this editorial bucket for the current filters.
Champions League intelligence snapshot
SportXG ranks current league signals using verified standings data and stored prediction-market gaps. xG-only layers stay hidden until a stable league feed is available.
47 logged predictions32 settled
Most stable favorite
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
80% model lean with 69 pt separation.
Most underpriced club
Flora Tallinn
FC Iberia 1999 vs Flora Tallinn carries +29.6 pts of model edge.
Biggest market disagreement
Larne vs Tre Fiori
36.3 pts separate SportXG from the stored market.
Highest volatility team
Sporting CP
Volatility score 96/100 across current tracked fixtures.
Strongest home advantage
Manchester United
Home points pace runs 3 points per game above away pace.
Strongest trend shift
Paris Saint Germain
Cooling trend from the last five published form markers.
League environment
These league-wide signals describe the scoring climate, confidence climate, and disagreement profile around the current competition feed.
Model output
Model-predicted total goals
2.61 projected goals per fixture
Average total goals from stored score predictions, not shot-based expected goals (xG).
Historical scoring tendencies
Scoring environment
4.04 goals per match
Draws land at 10%, over-2.5 outcomes at 78%, and clean-sheet finishes at — across the currently stored competition record.
Model confidence environment
Model confidence environment
50%
The average selected probability is 50%, while 14% of tracked fixtures currently fall into the high-confidence bucket.
Market disagreement environment
Market disagreement environment
14.7 pts
Average model-vs-market disagreement currently runs at 14.7 pts, with 69% of tracked fixtures clearing the strong-disagreement threshold. The sharpest disagreement fixture is linked below through the featured card.
Attack and defense leaders
These table-driven leaders help frame which clubs are shaping the league's scoring environment most aggressively right now.
Match of the week
Strong market divergence
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Highest conviction active fixture in the current league feed.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home80%
Draw11%
Away10%
Model vs market
Model
80%
Market
55%
Edge
+24.5 pts
Inter Club d'Escaldes to win
Biggest model disagreement
Strong market divergence
Larne vs Tre Fiori
Largest gap between SportXG and the stored market snapshot.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home42%
Draw34%
Away24%
Model vs market
Model
42%
Market
78%
Edge
-36.3 pts
Larne to win
High volatility fixture
Strong market divergence
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
Tight probability separation with elevated uncertainty.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home35%
Draw25%
Away40%
Model vs market
Model
40%
Market
49%
Edge
-9.4 pts
Sporting CP to win
Key model insights
League-level watchlists and narratives prioritize what matters most, rather than stacking generic standings and fixtures equally.
Watchlist team
Sabah FA
Cooling trend with model strength 14/100.
Strongest home edge
Manchester United
3.00 point home-vs-away pace gap.
Editorial framing
FC Iberia 1999 vs Flora Tallinn is the clearest underpricing signal in the current archive, with the model holding a 29.6 point edge over the stored market.
Manchester United currently shows the strongest home advantage in the table data, outperforming its away points pace by 3 points per game.
Paris Saint Germain owns the sharpest recent momentum profile in the tracked table, making it the current watchlist team for this competition.
Intelligence standings
This table stays grounded in official standings while layering model strength, volatility, and home-edge signals on top.
Snapshot time unavailable
| # | Team | Played | GF | GA | GD | Points | Form | Model strength | Volatility | Avg edge | Home edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 | WWWW | Strength100/100 | Volatility55/100 | +6.6 pts | 0.00 | |
| 2 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 | WWWW | Strength100/100 | Volatility88/100 | -27.2 pts | 0.00 | |
| 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 | WDWW | Strength89/100 | Volatility47/100 | -3.6 pts | +0.67 | |
| 4 | 4 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 | WWLW | Strength100/100 | Volatility72/100 | +10.6 pts | +1.50 | |
| 5 | 4 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 | WLWW | Strength97/100 | Volatility53/100 | -8.8 pts | +1.50 | |
| 6 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 | LWWW | Strength89/100 | Volatility53/100 | -8.8 pts | +1.50 | |
| 7 | 4 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 | WWLW | Strength85/100 | Volatility78/100 | -12.4 pts | -1.50 | |
| 8 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | LWWW | Strength81/100 | Volatility80/100 | -11.2 pts | +1.50 | |
| 9 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | WWWL | Strength81/100 | Volatility94/100 | -3.3 pts | -1.50 | |
| 10 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | WLWW | Strength81/100 | Volatility96/100 | -9.4 pts | -1.50 | |
| 11 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | LWWW | Strength73/100 | Volatility79/100 | -3.9 pts | +1.50 | |
| 12 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 | WWLW | Strength73/100 | Volatility79/100 | -3.9 pts | +1.50 | |
| 13 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 | WDDW | Strength88/100 | Volatility95/100 | +1.5 pts | 0.00 | |
| 14 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | LDWW | Strength68/100 | Volatility63/100 | +26.7 pts | +0.50 | |
| 15 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 | WWLL | Strength59/100 | Volatility87/100 | -7.3 pts | 0.00 | |
| 16 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 | WWLL | Strength55/100 | Volatility61/100 | -6.3 pts | +1.00 | |
| 17 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | WLLW | Strength51/100 | Volatility63/100 | +17.4 pts | +3.00 | |
| 18 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | WWLL | Strength47/100 | Volatility63/100 | +26.7 pts | 0.00 | |
| 19 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | WDLD | Strength27/100 | Volatility80/100 | -11.2 pts | +0.25 | |
| 20 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 | LWLD | Strength50/100 | Volatility63/100 | +17.4 pts | +1.00 | |
| 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | LLWD | Strength42/100 | Volatility96/100 | -9.4 pts | +1.00 | |
| 22 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 | WLDL | Strength38/100 | Volatility83/100 | — | +2.00 | |
| 23 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LDWL | Strength38/100 | Volatility95/100 | +1.5 pts | +1.00 | |
| 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LWLD | Strength38/100 | Volatility94/100 | -3.3 pts | -1.00 | |
| 25 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DLWL | Strength22/100 | Volatility38/100 | +25.5 pts | +1.50 | |
| 26 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | WLLL | Strength34/100 | Volatility86/100 | -3.0 pts | +1.00 | |
| 27 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LWLL | Strength18/100 | Volatility86/100 | -3.0 pts | +1.50 | |
| 28 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 | LLWL | Strength14/100 | Volatility55/100 | +6.6 pts | +1.50 | |
| 29 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW | Strength14/100 | Volatility88/100 | -27.2 pts | +1.67 | |
| 30 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLWL | Strength14/100 | Volatility78/100 | -12.4 pts | +1.50 | |
| 31 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | LLWL | Strength14/100 | Volatility87/100 | +27.0 pts | +1.50 | |
| 32 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | LLWL | Strength10/100 | Volatility87/100 | -7.3 pts | +1.50 | |
| 33 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 | LLLW | Strength0/100 | Volatility72/100 | +10.6 pts | -1.50 | |
| 34 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | LDLL | Strength13/100 | Volatility47/100 | -3.6 pts | -0.50 | |
| 35 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLLL | Strength5/100 | Volatility38/100 | +25.5 pts | -0.50 | |
| 36 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 | LLLL | Strength0/100 | Volatility61/100 | -6.3 pts | -0.25 |
