Competition overview
La Liga
Explore this season's standings, upcoming fixtures and published pre-match analysis.
Season
2026
On this page
Fixtures & standings
Tracked matches
878
Fixtures captured inside the current competition scope.
Prediction accuracy
47%
Settled hit rate from the verified archive only.
Active predictions
5
Upcoming or live league fixtures currently covered by logged outputs.
Featured fixtures
Active competition fixtures ranked by confidence, edge, and current market interpretation.
Regular Season - 12
2026-11-07 04:00
Upcoming
Sevilla
AlavesModel output
Sevilla to win
71%
Strong confidenceMarket aligned
Regular Season - 12
2026-11-07 21:00
Upcoming
Malaga
Racing SantanderModel output
Malaga to win
69%
Strong confidenceStrong market divergence
Regular Season - 12
2026-11-07 23:15
Upcoming
Espanyol
Deportivo La CorunaModel output
Deportivo La Coruna to win
49%
Moderate confidenceMarket aligned
La Liga intelligence snapshot
SportXG ranks current league signals using verified standings data and stored prediction-market gaps. xG-only layers stay hidden until a stable league feed is available.
173 logged predictions70 settled
Most stable favorite
Valencia vs Real Madrid
80% model lean with 68 pt separation.
Most underpriced club
Malaga
Malaga vs Racing Santander carries +29.4 pts of model edge.
Biggest market disagreement
Malaga vs Racing Santander
29.4 pts separate SportXG from the stored market.
Highest volatility team
Espanyol
Volatility score 88/100 across current tracked fixtures.
Strongest home advantage
Getafe
Home points pace runs 2 points per game above away pace.
Strongest trend shift
Espanyol
Strong positive trend from the last five published form markers.
League environment
These league-wide signals describe the scoring climate, confidence climate, and disagreement profile around the current competition feed.
xG trend status
Expected goals environment
1.60 projected goals per fixture
Stable league-wide xG feeds are not available here, so SportXG uses stored projected scorelines as a proxy. Current projected goals sit at 1.60 per fixture versus 65.00 actual goals per match, a -63.40 goal gap.
Historical scoring tendencies
Scoring environment
65.00 goals per match
Draws land at 540%, over-2.5 outcomes at 58%, and clean-sheet finishes at 0% across the currently stored competition record.
Model confidence environment
Model confidence environment
64%
The average selected probability is 64%, while 30% of tracked fixtures currently fall into the high-confidence bucket.
Market disagreement environment
Market disagreement environment
29.4 pts
Average model-vs-market disagreement currently runs at 29.4 pts, with 10% of tracked fixtures clearing the strong-disagreement threshold. The sharpest disagreement fixture is linked below through the featured card.
Attack and defense leaders
These table-driven leaders help frame which clubs are shaping the league's scoring environment most aggressively right now.
Match of the week
Market aligned
Valencia vs Real Madrid
Highest conviction active fixture in the current league feed.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home7%
Draw13%
Away80%
Model vs market
Model
80%
Market
—
Edge
—
No odds snapshot
Real Madrid to win
Biggest model disagreement
Strong market divergence
Malaga vs Racing Santander
Largest gap between SportXG and the stored market snapshot.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home69%
Draw16%
Away15%
Model vs market
Model
69%
Market
40%
Edge
+29.4 pts
Malaga to win
High volatility fixture
Market aligned
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna
Tight probability separation with elevated uncertainty.
Moderate confidenceModerate volatility
Home38%
Draw14%
Away49%
Model vs market
Model
49%
Market
—
Edge
—
No odds snapshot
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Key model insights
League-level watchlists and narratives prioritize what matters most, rather than stacking generic standings and fixtures equally.
Watchlist team
Espanyol
Strong positive trend with model strength 86/100.
Strongest home edge
Getafe
2.00 point home-vs-away pace gap.
Editorial framing
Malaga vs Racing Santander is the clearest underpricing signal in the current archive, with the model holding a 29.4 point edge over the stored market.
Getafe currently shows the strongest home advantage in the table data, outperforming its away points pace by 2 points per game.
Espanyol owns the sharpest recent momentum profile in the tracked table, making it the current watchlist team for this competition.
Intelligence standings
This table stays grounded in official standings while layering model strength, volatility, and home-edge signals on top.
| # | Team | Played | GF | GA | GD | Points | Form | Model strength | Volatility | Avg edge | Home edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | W | Strength86/100 | Volatility88/100 | — | -0.37 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | W | Strength70/100 | Volatility45/100 | — | +1.27 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | W | Strength70/100 | Volatility45/100 | — | +0.47 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength0/100 | Volatility47/100 | +29.4 pts | +1.83 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength50/100 | Volatility— | — | -0.53 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength0/100 | Volatility— | — | -1.30 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength50/100 | Volatility88/100 | — | +0.20 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility— | — | -0.50 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility32/100 | — | +1.00 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility— | — | +0.10 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility— | — | +0.90 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility— | — | +0.53 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility32/100 | — | -1.07 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility— | — | +0.50 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility85/100 | — | +0.83 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility85/100 | — | +1.00 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength36/100 | Volatility47/100 | +29.4 pts | +0.27 | |
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength0/100 | Volatility— | — | +1.60 | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L | Strength0/100 | Volatility— | — | +0.90 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L | Strength0/100 | Volatility— | — | +2.00 |
