Competition overview
Premier League
Explore this season's standings, upcoming fixtures and published pre-match analysis.
Season: 2026
The table picture
Snapshot updatedLeading this snapshotArsenal
27 pts · 10 played
Nearest challengerBrighton
22 pts · 10 played
Points gap5 pts
Snapshot updated:
The displayed table is not a prediction of title, promotion or relegation.
Standings
Premier League · 2026
Standings snapshot: . Last stored update, not a real-time feed.
| # | Team | Played | GF | GA | GD | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW | |
| 4 | 10 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL | |
| 5 | 10 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW | |
| 6 | 10 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD | |
| 7 | 10 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL | |
| 8 | 10 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD | |
| 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL | |
| 10 | 10 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD | |
| 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD | |
| 12 | 10 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL | |
| 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD | |
| 14 | 10 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW | |
| 15 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL | |
| 16 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 10 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW | |
| 18 | 10 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD | |
| 19 | 10 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL | |
| 20 | 10 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
Fixtures
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Predictions are published within 72 hours of kickoff when available.
Historical observations
These observations use stored historical matches, not live recommendations.
Tracked matches
909
Fixtures captured inside the current competition scope.
Prediction accuracy
56%
Settled hit rate from the verified archive only.
Active predictions
0
Upcoming or live league fixtures currently covered by logged outputs.
Premier League intelligence snapshot
These observations use stored historical matches, not live recommendations.
146 logged predictions61 settled
Most stable favorite
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
86% model lean with 76 pt separation.
Most underpriced club
Brighton
Brighton vs Brentford carries +29.9 pts of model edge.
Biggest market disagreement
Brighton vs Brentford
29.9 pts separate SportXG from the stored market.
Highest volatility team
Sunderland
Volatility score 94/100 across current tracked fixtures.
Strongest home advantage
Brentford
Home points pace runs 1.2 points per game above away pace.
Strongest trend shift
Arsenal
Cooling trend from the last five published form markers.
League environment
These league-wide signals describe the scoring climate, confidence climate, and disagreement profile around the current competition feed.
Model output
Model-predicted total goals
1.75 projected goals per fixture
Average total goals from stored score predictions, not shot-based expected goals (xG).
Historical scoring tendencies
Scoring environment
2.73 goals per match
Draws land at 27%, over-2.5 outcomes at 31%, and clean-sheet finishes at — across the currently stored competition record.
Model confidence environment
Model confidence environment
60%
The average selected probability is 60%, while 44% of tracked fixtures currently fall into the high-confidence bucket.
Market disagreement environment
Market disagreement environment
17.1 pts
Average model-vs-market disagreement currently runs at 17.1 pts, with 22% of tracked fixtures clearing the strong-disagreement threshold. The sharpest disagreement fixture is linked below through the featured card.
Attack and defense leaders
These table-driven leaders help frame which clubs are shaping the league's scoring environment most aggressively right now.
Match of the week
Market snapshot unavailable
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Highest conviction active fixture in the current league feed.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home5%
Draw10%
Away86%
Model vs market
Model
86%
Market
—
Edge
—
No odds snapshot
Manchester City to win
Biggest model disagreement
Strong market divergence
Brighton vs Brentford
Largest gap between SportXG and the stored market snapshot.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home79%
Draw13%
Away9%
Model vs market
Model
79%
Market
49%
Edge
+29.9 pts
Brighton to win
High volatility fixture
Market snapshot unavailable
Sunderland vs Leeds
Tight probability separation with elevated uncertainty.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home14%
Draw44%
Away42%
Model vs market
Model
44%
Market
—
Edge
—
No odds snapshot
Draw
Key model insights
League-level watchlists and narratives prioritize what matters most, rather than stacking generic standings and fixtures equally.
Watchlist team
Brentford
Cooling trend with model strength 57/100.
Strongest home edge
Brentford
1.20 point home-vs-away pace gap.
Editorial framing
Brighton vs Brentford is the clearest underpricing signal in the current archive, with the model holding a 29.9 point edge over the stored market.
Brentford currently shows the strongest home advantage in the table data, outperforming its away points pace by 1.2 points per game.
Arsenal owns the sharpest recent momentum profile in the tracked table, making it the current watchlist team for this competition.