Competition overview
Serie A
Explore this season's standings, upcoming fixtures and published pre-match analysis.
Season: 2026
The table picture
Snapshot updatedLeading this snapshotLazio
29 pts · 11 played
Nearest challengerInter
28 pts · 11 played
Points gap1 pts
Snapshot updated:
The displayed table is not a prediction of title, promotion or relegation.
Standings
Serie A · 2026
Standings snapshot: . Last stored update, not a real-time feed.
| # | Team | Played | GF | GA | GD | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 29 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 11 | 28 | 13 | +15 | 28 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 11 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW | |
| 4 | 11 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 24 | WWLWW | |
| 5 | 11 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW | |
| 6 | 11 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW | |
| 7 | 11 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 | DWLWL | |
| 8 | 11 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL | |
| 9 | 11 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL | |
| 10 | 11 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 15 | DLWDL | |
| 11 | 11 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW | |
| 12 | 11 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 | WLDDL | |
| 13 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 13 | LWWWL | |
| 14 | 11 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW | |
| 15 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 9 | DWDLL | |
| 16 | 11 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL | |
| 17 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 7 | LLLLW | |
| 19 | 11 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW | |
| 20 | 11 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
Fixtures
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Predictions are published within 72 hours of kickoff when available.
Historical observations
These observations use stored historical matches, not live recommendations.
Tracked matches
904
Fixtures captured inside the current competition scope.
Prediction accuracy
56%
Settled hit rate from the verified archive only.
Active predictions
0
Upcoming or live league fixtures currently covered by logged outputs.
Serie A intelligence snapshot
These observations use stored historical matches, not live recommendations.
152 logged predictions68 settled
Most stable favorite
Inter vs Fiorentina
91% model lean with 86 pt separation.
Most underpriced club
Lazio
Napoli vs Lazio carries +29.3 pts of model edge.
Biggest market disagreement
Napoli vs Lazio
29.3 pts separate SportXG from the stored market.
Highest volatility team
Bologna
Volatility score 82/100 across current tracked fixtures.
Strongest home advantage
Frosinone
Home points pace runs 1.5 points per game above away pace.
Strongest trend shift
Lazio
Cooling trend from the last five published form markers.
League environment
These league-wide signals describe the scoring climate, confidence climate, and disagreement profile around the current competition feed.
Model output
Model-predicted total goals
1.67 projected goals per fixture
Average total goals from stored score predictions, not shot-based expected goals (xG).
Historical scoring tendencies
Scoring environment
3.11 goals per match
Draws land at 17%, over-2.5 outcomes at 61%, and clean-sheet finishes at — across the currently stored competition record.
Model confidence environment
Model confidence environment
63%
The average selected probability is 63%, while 56% of tracked fixtures currently fall into the high-confidence bucket.
Market disagreement environment
Market disagreement environment
17.5 pts
Average model-vs-market disagreement currently runs at 17.5 pts, with 22% of tracked fixtures clearing the strong-disagreement threshold. The sharpest disagreement fixture is linked below through the featured card.
Attack and defense leaders
These table-driven leaders help frame which clubs are shaping the league's scoring environment most aggressively right now.
Match of the week
Market snapshot unavailable
Inter vs Fiorentina
Highest conviction active fixture in the current league feed.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home91%
Draw4%
Away5%
Model vs market
Model
91%
Market
—
Edge
—
No odds snapshot
Inter to win
Biggest model disagreement
Strong market divergence
Napoli vs Lazio
Largest gap between SportXG and the stored market snapshot.
Strong confidenceLow volatility
Home16%
Draw24%
Away60%
Model vs market
Model
60%
Market
31%
Edge
+29.4 pts
Lazio to win
High volatility fixture
Strong market divergence
Bologna vs Monza
Tight probability separation with elevated uncertainty.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home38%
Draw25%
Away37%
Model vs market
Model
38%
Market
54%
Edge
-15.9 pts
Bologna to win
Key model insights
League-level watchlists and narratives prioritize what matters most, rather than stacking generic standings and fixtures equally.
Watchlist team
Napoli
Cooling trend with model strength 54/100.
Strongest home edge
Frosinone
1.50 point home-vs-away pace gap.
Editorial framing
Napoli vs Lazio is the clearest underpricing signal in the current archive, with the model holding a 29.3 point edge over the stored market.
Frosinone currently shows the strongest home advantage in the table data, outperforming its away points pace by 1.5 points per game.
Lazio owns the sharpest recent momentum profile in the tracked table, making it the current watchlist team for this competition.