League intelligence hub
World Cup
Verified competition context, market disagreement signals, and model-led fixture watchlists for World.
Season
2026
Analytical layer
Standings + market signals
Tracked matches
30
Fixtures captured inside the current competition scope.
Prediction accuracy
—
Settled hit rate from the verified archive only.
Active predictions
12
Upcoming or live league fixtures currently covered by logged outputs.
World Cup intelligence snapshot
SportXG ranks current league signals using verified standings data and stored prediction-market gaps. xG-only layers stay hidden until a stable league feed is available.
12 logged predictions0 settled
League environment
These league-wide signals describe the scoring climate, confidence climate, and disagreement profile around the current competition feed.
xG trend status
Expected goals environment
2.50 projected goals per fixture
Stable league-wide xG feeds are not available here, so SportXG uses stored projected scorelines as a proxy. Current projected goals sit at 2.50 per fixture versus — actual goals per match, a — goal gap.
Historical scoring tendencies
Scoring environment
—
Draws land at —, over-2.5 outcomes at —, and clean-sheet finishes at — across the currently stored competition record.
Model confidence environment
Model confidence environment
42%
The average selected probability is 42%, while 0% of tracked fixtures currently fall into the high-confidence bucket.
Market disagreement environment
Market disagreement environment
23.2 pts
Average model-vs-market disagreement currently runs at 23.2 pts, with 50% of tracked fixtures clearing the strong-disagreement threshold. The sharpest disagreement fixture is linked below through the featured card.
Attack and defense leaders
These table-driven leaders help frame which clubs are shaping the league's scoring environment most aggressively right now.
Strongest attack
Unavailable
—
Not enough stable league evidence is available to rank this signal yet.
Strongest defense
Unavailable
—
Not enough stable league evidence is available to rank this signal yet.
Match of the week
Strong market divergence
Ghana vs Panama
Highest conviction active fixture in the current league feed.
Low convictionLow volatility
Home31%
Draw49%
Away20%
Model vs market
Model
49%
Market
31%
Edge
+18.2 pts
Draw
Biggest model disagreement
Strong market divergence
Canada vs Qatar
Largest gap between SportXG and the stored market snapshot.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home42%
Draw35%
Away24%
Model vs market
Model
42%
Market
78%
Edge
-35.9 pts
Canada to win
High volatility fixture
Strong market divergence
England vs Croatia
Tight probability separation with elevated uncertainty.
Low convictionHigh volatility
Home38%
Draw37%
Away25%
Model vs market
Model
38%
Market
59%
Edge
-21.3 pts
England to win
Key model insights
League-level watchlists and narratives prioritize what matters most, rather than stacking generic standings and fixtures equally.
Watchlist team
Unavailable
No recent watchlist signal is available from the current table and prediction archive.
Strongest home edge
Unavailable
Home-versus-away pace is not stable enough to rank right now.
Editorial framing
Iraq vs Norway is the clearest underpricing signal in the current archive, with the model holding a 31.6 point edge over the stored market.
Intelligence standings
This table stays grounded in official standings while layering model strength, volatility, and home-edge signals on top.
| # | Team | Played | GF | GA | GD | Points | Form | Model strength | Volatility | Avg edge | Home edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 | W | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDL | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L | Strength— | Volatility— | — | — |
Featured fixtures
Active competition fixtures ranked by confidence, edge, and current market interpretation.
Group Stage - 1
France
Senegal2026-06-17 03:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
44%+20.0% edge
Home31%
Draw44%
Away25%
Market view
Model44%
Market24%
Edge+20.0 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 1
Iraq
Norway2026-06-17 06:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
46%+31.6% edge
Home33%
Draw46%
Away21%
Market view
Model46%
Market15%
Edge+31.6 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 1
Argentina
Algeria2026-06-17 09:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Argentina to win
41%-31.8% edge
Home41%
Draw35%
Away24%
Market view
Model41%
Market73%
Edge-31.8 pts
Argentina to win
Group Stage - 1
Austria
Jordan2026-06-17 12:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
45%+25.4% edge
Home30%
Draw45%
Away25%
Market view
Model45%
Market20%
Edge+25.4 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 1
Portugal
Congo DR2026-06-18 01:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
41%+22.1% edge
Home38%
Draw41%
Away20%
Market view
Model41%
Market19%
Edge+22.1 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 1
England
Croatia2026-06-18 04:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
England to win
38%-21.3% edge
Home38%
Draw37%
Away25%
Market view
Model38%
Market59%
Edge-21.3 pts
England to win
Group Stage - 1
Ghana
Panama2026-06-18 07:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
49%+18.2% edge
Home31%
Draw49%
Away20%
Market view
Model49%
Market31%
Edge+18.2 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 1
Uzbekistan
Colombia2026-06-18 10:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Draw
39%+16.3% edge
Home33%
Draw39%
Away28%
Market view
Model39%
Market23%
Edge+16.3 pts
Draw
Group Stage - 2
Czechia
South Africa2026-06-19 00:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Czechia to win
42%-16.0% edge
Home42%
Draw35%
Away24%
Market view
Model42%
Market57%
Edge-16.0 pts
Czechia to win
Group Stage - 2
Switzerland
Bosnia & Herzegovina2026-06-19 03:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Switzerland to win
41%-25.1% edge
Home41%
Draw34%
Away25%
Market view
Model41%
Market66%
Edge-25.1 pts
Switzerland to win
Group Stage - 2
Canada
Qatar2026-06-19 06:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Canada to win
42%-35.9% edge
Home42%
Draw35%
Away24%
Market view
Model42%
Market78%
Edge-35.9 pts
Canada to win
Group Stage - 2
Mexico
South Korea2026-06-19 09:00
NS
Low convictionStrong market divergence
Model output
Mexico to win
37%-15.2% edge
Home37%
Draw37%
Away26%
Market view
Model37%
Market53%
Edge-15.2 pts
Mexico to win