Arsenal's 27-point start among best after 10 games, but history offers caution

Arsenal have 27 points after 10 Premier League games, a total only four teams have bettered at this stage, and all four went on to win the title, according to a BBC Sport analysis of historical table positions.

The report notes that the average points tally for eventual champions after 10 games is 23, and that the team top at this stage has won the title in 15 of 34 Premier League seasons. However, the only two previous sides to post exactly 27 points after 10 games both failed to win the title, including Arsenal in 2022-23.

Brighton sit second on 21 points, five behind Arsenal. BBC Sport reports that the team in second after 10 games has won the title in just one of the past 18 seasons, Manchester City in 2022-23, while the fewest points a side has had at this stage and still won the league is 18.

At the bottom, Crystal Palace are 20th with seven points after losing four straight league matches. The report says 14 teams have stayed up after being bottom at this point, most recently Wolves in 2024-25, and that 37 of 88 teams with seven or fewer points after 10 games have survived.