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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Java United vs Persebaya Surabaya Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

Liga 1R29Post-match

Java United0 - 2Full-time · Half-time 0 - 0Persebaya Surabaya

Apr 23, 2026, 12:00 UTCGelora Kie Raha Stadium · Ternate

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Java United to win
Actual outcome:: Persebaya Surabaya to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 2 - 1
Actual score:: 0 - 2

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90'
Goal
Persebaya Surabaya · F. Rivera · Assist: R. Ardiansyah
85'
Substitution
Malut United · Ciro · Assist: M. Drajad
85'
Substitution
Malut United · W. Angulo · Assist: A. Slamat
76'
Substitution
Malut United · T. Rustam · Assist: F. Butuan
75'
Substitution
Persebaya Surabaya · A. Catur · Assist: M. Tata
75'
Substitution
Persebaya Surabaya · T. Firmansyah · Assist: L. S. Lelis
73'
Goal
Persebaya Surabaya · M. Raickovic · Assist: Bruno Paraiba
70'
Yellow Card
Persebaya Surabaya · T. Firmansyah
65'
Substitution
Persebaya Surabaya · M. Perovic · Assist: Bruno Paraiba
64'
Yellow Card
Persebaya Surabaya · K. Araya
62'
Substitution
Malut United · Tyronne · Assist: L. Cardoso
59'
Yellow Card
Persebaya Surabaya · A. Catur
58'
Substitution
Persebaya Surabaya · P. Matos · Assist: R. Ardiansyah
58'
Substitution
Persebaya Surabaya · R. Malik · Assist: K. Araya
47'
Yellow Card
Persebaya Surabaya · P. Matos
46'
Substitution
Malut United · A. Lestaluhu · Assist: Igor Inocencio
39'
Goal Disallowed - offside
Malut United · Y. Sayuri
34'
Yellow Card
Malut United · Gustavo

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Java United

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Apr 22, 2026, 18:43 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #120
Model version: legacy-audit-v1

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Corners outlook: 10
Cards outlook: 4