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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

World CupGroup Stage - 1Post-match

Saudi Arabia1 - 1Full-time · Half-time 1 - 0Uruguay

Jun 15, 2026, 22:00 UTCHard Rock Stadium · Miami

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Draw
Actual outcome:: Draw

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 0 - 0
Actual score:: 1 - 1

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90'
Substitution
Saudi Arabia · Saud Abdulhamid · Assist: Ali Lajami
90'
Substitution
Saudi Arabia · Firas Al-Buraikan · Assist: Ala'a Al-Hejji
90'
Substitution
Saudi Arabia · Moteb Al-Harbi · Assist: Abdullah Al-Hamdan
90'
Substitution
Uruguay · Federico Viñas · Assist: Rodrigo Aguirre
81'
Substitution
Saudi Arabia · Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Assist: Nawaf Boushal
81'
Substitution
Uruguay · Maximiliano Araújo · Assist: Brian Rodríguez
80'
Goal
Uruguay · Maximiliano Araújo
72'
Substitution
Uruguay · Manuel Ugarte · Assist: Nicolás de la Cruz
63'
Substitution
Saudi Arabia · Musab Al Juwayr · Assist: Nasser Al-Dawsari
46'
Substitution
Uruguay · Darwin Núñez · Assist: Agustín Canobbio
46'
Substitution
Uruguay · Matías Viña · Assist: Juan Sanabria
44'
Yellow Card
Saudi Arabia · Abdulelah Al-Amri
Foul
41'
Goal
Saudi Arabia · Abdulelah Al-Amri

Key match statistics

Saudi ArabiaUruguay

33%Possession67%

0.66xG1.72

3Shots on Goal10

7Total Shots27

4Corners14

11Fouls6

1Yellow Cards0

3Shots off Goal10

1Blocked Shots7

4Inside Box16

3Outside Box11

0Offsides6

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned draw

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Jun 12, 2026, 22:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #438
Model version: ml-v2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Odds snapshot

Saudi Arabia 8.70Draw 4.10Uruguay 1.40