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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

J1 LeagueR14Post-match

Yokohama F. Marinos1 - 1Full-time · Half-time 1 - 1Mito Hollyhock

May 2, 2026, 05:00 UTCNissan Stadium · Yokohama

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Actual outcome:: Draw

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 1 - 0
Actual score:: 1 - 1

Match event timeline

Latest event first

88'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · R. Yamane · Assist: D. David
86'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · K. Tada · Assist: S. Yamashita
78'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · K. Sekitomi · Assist: J. Quinones
73'
Yellow Card
Yokohama F. Marinos · Kosei Suwama
Foul
71'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · M. Arai · Assist: K. Ando
70'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · G. Onaiwu · Assist: J. Croux
68'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · A. Watanabe · Assist: Y. Torikai
68'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Matheus Leiria · Assist: R. Nemoto
56'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · R. Kato · Assist: R. Miyaichi
56'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · Tevis · Assist: J. Amano
56'
Substitution
Yokohama F. Marinos · A. Higuchi · Assist: K. Watanabe
42'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Danilo Cardoso · Assist: T. Ushizawa
33'
Yellow Card
Mito Hollyhock · Danilo Cardoso
Foul
27'
Goal
Mito Hollyhock · A. Watanabe
5'
Goal
Yokohama F. Marinos · K. Tanimura · Assist: G. Onaiwu

Key match statistics

Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock

36%Possession64%

4Shots on Goal7

10Total Shots19

4Corners8

8Fouls5

1Yellow Cards1

3Shots off Goal7

3Blocked Shots5

7Inside Box16

3Outside Box3

1Offsides3

6GK Saves3

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Yokohama F. Marinos

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Apr 29, 2026, 17:52 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #184
Model version: legacy-audit-v1

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Corners outlook: 10
Cards outlook: 4