J1 LeagueR17Post-match

Kawasaki Frontale1 - 1Finished on penalties · Half-time 0 - 1Machida Zelvia

May 17, 2026, 10:00 UTCKawasaki Todoroki Stadium · Kawasaki

Goals & key events

Latest event first

120+6'
K. MochiyamaKawasaki Frontale · Penalty
120+5'
N. LaviMachida Zelvia · Penalty
120+5'
R. YamaharaKawasaki Frontale · Penalty
120+4'
K. TaniMachida Zelvia · Penalty

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Machida Zelvia to win
Actual outcome:: Draw

Most likely scorelineNot evaluated

Most likely pre-match score:: —
Actual score:: 1 - 1

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Full match timeline

120+6'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · K. Sento
Penalty Shootout
120+6'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · K. Mochiyama
Penalty Shootout
120+5'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · N. Lavi
Penalty Shootout
120+5'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · R. Yamahara
Penalty Shootout
120+4'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · K. Tani
Penalty Shootout
120+4'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · A. Sasaki
Penalty Shootout
120+3'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · S. Fujio
Penalty Shootout
120+3'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · Y. Yamamoto
Penalty Shootout
120+2'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · Y. Nakayama
Penalty Shootout
120+2'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · Y. Maruyama
Penalty Shootout
120+1'
Penalty
Machida Zelvia · I. Dresevic
Penalty Shootout
120+1'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · Y. Wakizaka
Penalty Shootout
90+7'
Yellow Card
Machida Zelvia · N. Lavi
89'
Penalty
Kawasaki Frontale · Y. Wakizaka
82'
Substitution
Machida Zelvia · Off: Na Sang-Ho · On: K. Hayashi
72'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Off: T. Ito · On: R. Osa
72'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Off: K. Tachibanada · On: S. Kawahara
72'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Off: L. Romanic · On: K. Mochiyama
70'
Substitution
Machida Zelvia · Off: Erik · On: K. Sento
65'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Off: T. Miyagi · On: Marcinho
62'
Substitution
Machida Zelvia · Off: T. Yengi · On: S. Fujio
62'
Substitution
Machida Zelvia · Off: H. Shimoda · On: N. Lavi
46'
Substitution
Machida Zelvia · Off: G. Shoji · On: Y. Nakayama
40'
Goal
Machida Zelvia · T. Yengi · Assist: H. Shimoda
28'
Yellow Card
Kawasaki Frontale · L. Romanic

Key match statistics

Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia

64%Possession36%

9Shots on Goal2

20Total Shots6

9Corners2

9Fouls10

1Yellow Cards1

7Shots off Goal3

4Blocked Shots1

13Inside Box4

7Outside Box2

1Offsides0

1GK Saves8

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Machida Zelvia

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: May 14, 2026, 10:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #279
Model version: ml-v2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Odds snapshot

Kawasaki Frontale 2.80Draw 3.35Machida Zelvia 2.40

SportXG Pre-match analysis archive

Pre-match view: Machida Zelvia

The leading outcome is below 50%. This is an open contest, not a strong favourite.

Home win23.4%

Draw31.2%

Away win45.4%

Recorded at May 14, 2026, 10:00 UTC

How to read this analysis

Outcome probabilities combine many possible scores. The most likely individual score can still be a draw when a team is more likely to win overall.

Data & prediction records

Pre-match predictions stay unchanged during and after play. Missing lineups or statistics mean unavailable coverage, not zero activity.

How to read this analysis · English

More matches to follow

J1 League · Nov 21, 2026, 06:00 UTCKawasaki Frontale vs Avispa FukuokaUpcoming J1 League · Nov 21, 2026, 05:00 UTCMachida Zelvia vs V-varen NagasakiUpcoming J1 League · Nov 25, 2026, 10:00 UTCV-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki FrontaleUpcoming J1 League · Nov 20, 2026, 10:00 UTCKashiwa Reysol vs JEF United ChibaUpcoming All fixtures

Kawasaki Frontale1 - 1Finished on penalties · Half-time 0 - 1Machida Zelvia

Goals & key events

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Penalty

Yellow Card

Penalty

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Goal

Yellow Card

Key match statistics

Why the model leaned Machida Zelvia

Odds snapshot