Loading trust dashboard

Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

V.League 1R22Post-match

Ho Chi Minh3 - 1Full-time · Half-time 1 - 1Song Lam Nghe An

May 10, 2026, 11:00 UTC

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Draw
Actual outcome:: Ho Chi Minh to win

Most likely scorelineNot evaluated

Most likely pre-match score:: —
Actual score:: 3 - 1

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+1'
Substitution
Song Lam Nghe An · J. Garcia · Assist: L. V. Le Dinh
90+1'
Substitution
Song Lam Nghe An · Ngo Van Luong · Assist: C. Fortes
90'
Substitution
Ho Chi Minh · Raphael Utzig · Assist: P. Makrillos
90'
Substitution
Ho Chi Minh · Minh Trong Vo · Assist: Mach Ngoc Ha
87'
Goal
Ho Chi Minh · Raphael Utzig
81'
Yellow Card
Song Lam Nghe An · N. H. Le
73'
Substitution
Ho Chi Minh · Le Quang Hung · Assist: V. H. Voo Huu
66'
Goal
Ho Chi Minh · Nguyen Tien Linh
62'
Substitution
Ho Chi Minh · Pham Duc Huy · Assist: Nguyen Tien Linh
60'
Substitution
Song Lam Nghe An · Tran Manh Quynh · Assist: P. Tran
58'
Yellow Card
Song Lam Nghe An · Tran Manh Quynh
50'
Yellow Card
Song Lam Nghe An · J. Garcia
46'
Substitution
Song Lam Nghe An · V. K. Hoang · Assist: N. H. Le
46'
Substitution
Song Lam Nghe An · Q. T. Dang · Assist: X. B. Nguyen
46'
Substitution
Ho Chi Minh · Dinh Thanh Binh · Assist: N. L. Bui
45+2'
Penalty
Ho Chi Minh · L. Williams
12'
Own Goal
Song Lam Nghe An · Khong Minh Gia

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned draw

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: May 9, 2026, 20:30 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #207
Model version: ml-v1

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Odds snapshot

Ho Chi Minh 2.15Draw 3.20Song Lam Nghe An 3.10