J1 LeagueR1Post-match

Gamba Osaka4 - 3Full-time · Half-time 2 - 1Urawa

Aug 7, 2026, 10:30 UTCPanasonic Stadium Suita · Suita

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Draw
Actual outcome:: Gamba Osaka to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 1 - 1
Actual score:: 4 - 3

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90'
Substitution
Gamba Osaka · R. Yamashita · Assist: S. Nakano
90'
Substitution
Gamba Osaka · R. Hatsuse · Assist: S. Sasaki
87'
Substitution
Urawa · T. Kaneko · Assist: K. Mizunuma
87'
Substitution
Urawa · K. Yasui · Assist: H. Ueki
86'
Goal
Gamba Osaka · A. Uenaka · Assist: R. Yamashita
84'
Goal
Gamba Osaka · Welton · Assist: I. Jebali
83'
Yellow Card
Urawa · A. Onaiwu
Foul
80'
Goal
Urawa · H. Minamino · Assist: R. Watanabe
78'
Goal
Urawa · T. Kaneko · Assist: R. Watanabe
77'
Substitution
Gamba Osaka · S. Abe · Assist: T. Suzuki
77'
Substitution
Gamba Osaka · R. Meshino · Assist: Welton
66'
Substitution
Urawa · K. Hayashi · Assist: Y. Naganuma
61'
Substitution
Urawa · H. Komori · Assist: A. Onaiwu
60'
Substitution
Urawa · S. Sasa · Assist: H. Minamino
59'
Substitution
Gamba Osaka · D. Hummet · Assist: A. Uenaka
49'
Yellow Card
Urawa · K. Kudo
Foul
45+7'
Goal
Gamba Osaka · D. Hummet · Assist: T. Kishimoto
36'
Goal
Gamba Osaka · I. Jebali · Assist: S. Abe
28'
Yellow Card
Urawa · K. Cho
Unsportsmanlike conduct
22'
Yellow Card
Urawa · K. Hayashi
Foul
22'
Yellow Card
Urawa · Matheus Savio
Unsportsmanlike conduct
22'
Red Card
Urawa · Matheus Savio
Unsportsmanlike conduct
17'
Goal
Urawa · H. Komori · Assist: T. Kaneko
11'
Yellow Card
Urawa · Matheus Savio
Foul

Key match statistics

Gamba OsakaUrawa

61%Possession39%

9Shots on Goal6

12Total Shots19

5Corners6

11Fouls12

0Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards1

3Shots off Goal7

0Blocked Shots6

9Inside Box14

3Outside Box5

1Offsides2

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned draw

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Aug 4, 2026, 10:30 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #567
Model version: ml-v2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Odds snapshot

Gamba Osaka 2.33Draw 3.30Urawa 3.00

SportXG Pre-match analysis archive

Pre-match view: Draw

The leading outcome is below 50%. This is an open contest, not a strong favourite.

Home win38.2%

Draw38.6%

Away win23.2%

Possible scorelines

Highest probability first

1 - 112.8%

1 - 011.0%

0 - 19.7%

All other scorelines: 66.5%. A single scoreline and a win/draw/loss outcome are different probabilities.

Recorded at Aug 4, 2026, 10:30 UTC

How to read this analysis

Outcome probabilities combine many possible scores. The most likely individual score can still be a draw when a team is more likely to win overall.

Data & prediction records

Pre-match predictions stay unchanged during and after play. Missing lineups or statistics mean unavailable coverage, not zero activity.

How to read this analysis · English

More matches to follow

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Gamba Osaka4 - 3Full-time · Half-time 2 - 1Urawa

Match event timeline

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Goal

Goal

Yellow Card

Goal

Goal

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Yellow Card

Goal

Goal

Yellow Card

Yellow Card

Yellow Card

Red Card

Goal

Yellow Card

Key match statistics

Why the model leaned draw

Odds snapshot