J1 LeagueR7Post-match

Kyoto Sanga2 - 3Full-time · Half-time 2 - 0Kashiwa Reysol

Sep 11, 2026, 10:00 UTCSanga Stadium by Kyocera · Kameoka

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Kashiwa Reysol to win
Actual outcome:: Kashiwa Reysol to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 1 - 1
Actual score:: 2 - 3

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+1'
Substitution
Kyoto Sanga · Temma Matsuda · Assist: Shun Nagasawa
90+1'
Substitution
Kyoto Sanga · Shimpei Fukuoka · Assist: Everton Maceió
90+1'
Substitution
Kyoto Sanga · Ren Kato · Assist: Sota Yamamoto
85'
Substitution
Kashiwa Reysol · Nobuteru Nakagawa · Assist: Yudai Konishi
80'
Yellow Card
Kyoto Sanga · Rafael Papagaio
Foul
79'
Substitution
Kyoto Sanga · Kodai Nagata · Assist: Hisashi Appiah Tawiah
78'
Substitution
Kashiwa Reysol · Keita Endo · Assist: Kenshin Yuba
75'
Substitution
Kashiwa Reysol · Masaki Watai · Assist: Hinata Yamauchi
71'
Goal
Kashiwa Reysol · Yusuke Segawa · Assist: Yoshio Koizumi
67'
Goal
Kashiwa Reysol · Yusuke Segawa · Assist: Masaki Watai
64'
Substitution
Kyoto Sanga · Alex Souza · Assist: Haruki Arai
63'
Yellow Card
Kashiwa Reysol · Masaki Watai
Foul
62'
Card upgrade confirmed
Kashiwa Reysol · Masaki Watai
59'
Goal
Kashiwa Reysol · Tojiro Kubo · Assist: Masaki Watai
45+3'
Yellow Card
Kyoto Sanga · Temma Matsuda
Foul
45'
Substitution
Kashiwa Reysol · Shota Fujio · Assist: Yusuke Segawa
45'
Substitution
Kashiwa Reysol · Wataru Harada · Assist: Seiya Baba
33'
Goal
Kyoto Sanga · Rafael Papagaio · Assist: Kyo Sato
32'
Yellow Card
Kashiwa Reysol · Taiyo Koga
Foul
21'
Yellow Card
Kyoto Sanga · Shimpei Fukuoka
Foul
3'
Goal
Kyoto Sanga · Rafael Papagaio · Assist: Ryuma Nakano

Key match statistics

Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol

55%Possession45%

5Shots on Goal6

15Total Shots19

7Corners5

13Fouls14

3Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

302Accurate Passes402

11Inside Box12

4Outside Box7

4Blocked Shots7

14Free Kicks13

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Kashiwa Reysol

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Sep 8, 2026, 02:53 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #847
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Odds snapshot

Kyoto Sanga 4.00Draw 3.70Kashiwa Reysol 1.81

SportXG Pre-match analysis archive

Pre-match view: Kashiwa Reysol

The leading outcome is below 50%. This is an open contest, not a strong favourite.

Home win37.5%

Draw23.5%

Away win39%

Possible scorelines

Highest probability first

1 - 19.6%

2 - 18.9%

1 - 27.4%

All other scorelines: 74.1%. A single scoreline and a win/draw/loss outcome are different probabilities.

Recorded at Sep 8, 2026, 02:53 UTC

How to read this analysis

Outcome probabilities combine many possible scores. The most likely individual score can still be a draw when a team is more likely to win overall.

Data & prediction records

Pre-match predictions stay unchanged during and after play. Missing lineups or statistics mean unavailable coverage, not zero activity.

How to read this analysis · English

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Kyoto Sanga2 - 3Full-time · Half-time 2 - 0Kashiwa Reysol

Match event timeline

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Yellow Card

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Goal

Goal

Substitution

Yellow Card

Card upgrade confirmed

Goal

Yellow Card

Substitution

Substitution

Goal

Yellow Card

Yellow Card

Goal

Key match statistics

Why the model leaned Kashiwa Reysol

Odds snapshot