J1 LeagueR7Post-match

Mito Hollyhock0 - 1Full-time · Half-time 0 - 0Kawasaki Frontale

Sep 12, 2026, 09:00 UTCBest Denki Stadium · Mito

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Kawasaki Frontale to win
Actual outcome:: Kawasaki Frontale to win

Exact score matched

Most likely pre-match score:: 0 - 1
Actual score:: 0 - 1

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Pedro Romano · Assist: So Kawahara
88'
Yellow Card
Mito Hollyhock · Taishi Semba
Foul
87'
Yellow Card
Kawasaki Frontale · Pedro Romano
Foul
83'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa · Assist: Asahi Sasaki
83'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Kyosuke Mochiyama · Assist: Yuto Ozeki
83'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Arata Watanabe · Assist: Ryo Nemoto
80'
Yellow Card
Kawasaki Frontale · Filip Uremović
Foul
76'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Tatsuya Ito · Assist: Kazuya Konno
76'
Substitution
Kawasaki Frontale · Hiroto Taniguchi · Assist: Filip Uremović
72'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Kaito Taniguchi · Assist: Hayata Yamamoto
72'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Yoshiki Torikai · Assist: Jin Okumura
71'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Kotaro Uchino · Assist: Chihiro Kato
59'
Goal
Kawasaki Frontale · Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa
59'
Substitution
Mito Hollyhock · Koshi Osaki · Assist: Yu Funabashi

Key match statistics

Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale

45%Possession55%

0Shots on Goal1

0Total Shots3

0Corners1

3Fouls3

0Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards0

116Accurate Passes150

3Free Kicks3

1GK Saves0

2Offsides0

141Total Passes172

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Kawasaki Frontale

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Sep 9, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #889
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

SportXG Pre-match analysis archive

Pre-match view: Kawasaki Frontale

The leading outcome is below 50%. This is an open contest, not a strong favourite.

Home win29.1%

Draw25.1%

Away win45.8%

Possible scorelines

Highest probability first

0 - 116.1%

0 - 014.3%

1 - 113.2%

All other scorelines: 56.4%. A single scoreline and a win/draw/loss outcome are different probabilities.

Recorded at Sep 9, 2026, 00:00 UTC

How to read this analysis

Outcome probabilities combine many possible scores. The most likely individual score can still be a draw when a team is more likely to win overall.

Data & prediction records

Pre-match predictions stay unchanged during and after play. Missing lineups or statistics mean unavailable coverage, not zero activity.

How to read this analysis · English

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Mito Hollyhock0 - 1Full-time · Half-time 0 - 0Kawasaki Frontale

Match event timeline

Substitution

Yellow Card

Yellow Card

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Yellow Card

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Substitution

Goal

Substitution

Key match statistics

Why the model leaned Kawasaki Frontale