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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Everton vs Ipswich Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

Premier LeagueR5Post-match

Everton1 - 0Full-time · Half-time 1 - 0Ipswich

Sep 19, 2026, 14:00 UTCHill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Everton to win
Actual outcome:: Everton to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 2 - 1
Actual score:: 1 - 0

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+6'
Yellow Card
Everton · Harrison Armstrong
Foul
90+2'
Yellow Card
Ipswich · Zian Flemming
Persistent Infringement
90+1'
Substitution
Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Assist: Hayden Hackney
90+1'
Substitution
Everton · Ainsley Maitland-Niles · Assist: Jake O'Brien
81'
Substitution
Ipswich · Exequiel Palacios · Assist: Chuba Akpom
81'
Substitution
Ipswich · Emersonn · Assist: Zian Flemming
79'
Substitution
Everton · Jack Grealish · Assist: Tyrique George
74'
Substitution
Ipswich · Julio Enciso · Assist: Daizen Maeda
73'
Substitution
Ipswich · Saša Lukić · Assist: Florentino Luís
67'
Red Card
Ipswich · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
66'
Substitution
Ipswich · Jack Clarke · Assist: Jaden Philogene-Bidace
66'
Substitution
Everton · Brennan Johnson · Assist: Tyler Dibling
59'
Goal cancelled
Everton · Thierno Barry
42'
Yellow Card
Everton · Vitaliy Mykolenko
Foul
35'
Yellow Card
Ipswich · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Foul
11'
Goal
Everton · Thierno Barry · Assist: James Tarkowski

Key match statistics

EvertonIpswich

52%Possession48%

2Shots on Goal4

21Total Shots13

4Corners4

6Fouls12

2Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

430Accurate Passes386

13Inside Box9

8Outside Box4

8Blocked Shots4

11Free Kicks6

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Everton

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Sep 16, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #950
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.