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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Coventry vs Sunderland Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

Premier LeagueR9Post-match

Coventry3 - 1Full-time · Half-time 2 - 0Sunderland

Oct 31, 2026, 15:00 UTCCoventry Building Society Arena · Coventry

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Coventry to win
Actual outcome:: Coventry to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 1 - 1
Actual score:: 3 - 1

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+9'
Red Card
Sunderland · Omar Alderete
90+4'
Yellow Card
Sunderland · Omar Alderete
Foul
83'
Substitution
Coventry · Victor Torp · Assist: Matt Grimes
75'
Substitution
Sunderland · Trai Hume · Assist: Thomas Meunier
75'
Substitution
Sunderland · Noah Sadiki · Assist: Malick Fofana
72'
Substitution
Coventry · Taiwo Awoniyi · Assist: Sidiki Cherif
72'
Substitution
Coventry · Yann Gboho · Assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante
67'
Penalty
Sunderland · Enzo Le Fée
63'
Penalty confirmed
Sunderland · Reinildo Isnard Mandava
57'
Substitution
Sunderland · Nilson Angulo · Assist: Wilson Isidor
57'
Substitution
Sunderland · Chris Rigg · Assist: Chemsdine Talbi
55'
Yellow Card
Coventry · Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
Foul
52'
Goal
Coventry · Jack Rudoni · Assist: Victor Torp
37'
Goal
Coventry · Taiwo Awoniyi
17'
Goal
Coventry · Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
7'
Yellow Card
Coventry · Victor Torp
Foul

Key match statistics

CoventrySunderland

43%Possession57%

0.77xG1.88

4Shots on Goal2

12Total Shots17

4Corners4

16Fouls9

2Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards1

255Accurate Passes368

4Inside Box12

8Outside Box5

4Blocked Shots8

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Coventry

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Oct 28, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #1240
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.