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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

Thai League 1R2Post-match

Chonburi FC2 - 3Full-time · Half-time 0 - 1Rayong FC

Sep 13, 2026, 12:00 UTCIPE Chonburi Campus Stadium · Chonburi

Outcome prediction did not match

Pre-match prediction:: Chonburi FC to win
Actual outcome:: Rayong FC to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 2 - 0
Actual score:: 2 - 3

Match event timeline

Latest event first

87'
Goal
Rayong FC · Yeo Hong-Gyu
83'
Substitution
Rayong FC · Bruno Leite · Assist: P. Ngernprasert
83'
Substitution
Rayong FC · Joao Felipe · Assist: C. Pombuppha
82'
Goal
Chonburi FC · Dennis Murillo
79'
Substitution
Chonburi FC · R. Ito · Assist: T. Doi
69'
Substitution
Rayong FC · A. Amornlerdsak · Assist: N. Promsomboon
68'
Yellow Card
Chonburi FC · R. Moraksa
Foul
67'
Substitution
Chonburi FC · N. Sayriya · Assist: R. Moraksa
66'
Substitution
Chonburi FC · T. Do · Assist: S. Channgom
61'
Yellow Card
Chonburi FC · T. Do
Foul
61'
Substitution
Rayong FC · P. Phatthanaphon · Assist: T. Pimoytha
61'
Substitution
Rayong FC · Coutinho · Assist: Yeo Hong-Gyu
58'
Goal
Chonburi FC · S. Junior · Assist: Jorge Fellipe
54'
Red Card
Rayong FC · Renan Gorne
Unsportsmanlike conduct
51'
Substitution
Chonburi FC · C. Veerachart · Assist: Dennis Murillo
50'
Yellow Card
Chonburi FC · P. Notchaiya
Foul
48'
Goal
Rayong FC · A. Amornlerdsak · Assist: Bruno Leite
45+3'
Yellow Card
Rayong FC · Joao Afonso
Foul
24'
Yellow Card
Rayong FC · Mayron
Foul
5'
Goal
Rayong FC · Renan Gorne · Assist: Joao Felipe

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Chonburi FC

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Sep 10, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #892
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.