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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

BundesligaR31Post-match

1. FC Heidenheim2 - 0Full-time · Half-time 1 - 0FC St. Pauli

Apr 25, 2026, 13:30 UTCVoith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: 1. FC Heidenheim to win
Actual outcome:: 1. FC Heidenheim to win

Exact score did not match

Most likely pre-match score:: 2 - 1
Actual score:: 2 - 0

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+1'
Substitution
1. FC Heidenheim · M. Pieringer · Assist: S. Schimmer
90+1'
Substitution
1. FC Heidenheim · B. Zivzivadze · Assist: C. Conteh
90+1'
Substitution
1. FC Heidenheim · E. Dinkci · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
88'
Substitution
FC St. Pauli · D. Sinani · Assist: C. Metcalfe
85'
Substitution
1. FC Heidenheim · N. Dorsch · Assist: J. Niehues
82'
Goal
1. FC Heidenheim · E. Dinkci · Assist: D. Ramaj
76'
Yellow Card
FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars
Foul
64'
Substitution
FC St. Pauli · A. Hountondji · Assist: A. Ceesay
63'
Substitution
FC St. Pauli · M. Saliakas · Assist: L. Ritzka
56'
Substitution
1. FC Heidenheim · A. Beck · Assist: L. Kerber
46'
Substitution
FC St. Pauli · M. Rasmussen · Assist: E. Smith
46'
Substitution
FC St. Pauli · J. Fujita · Assist: M. Kaars
3'
Goal
1. FC Heidenheim · B. Zivzivadze · Assist: J. Schoppner

Key match statistics

1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli

45%Possession55%

1.61xG1.06

5Shots on Goal2

12Total Shots11

6Corners6

7Fouls6

0Yellow Cards1

3Shots off Goal6

4Blocked Shots3

10Inside Box7

2Outside Box4

1Offsides3

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned 1. FC Heidenheim

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Apr 22, 2026, 15:27 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #88
Model version: legacy-audit-v1

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Corners outlook: 10
Cards outlook: 4