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Preparing probability logs, settlement summaries, and match context.

Getafe vs Malaga Probabilities, Market Context & Prediction Lifecycle | SportXG

La LigaR7Post-match

Getafe1 - 0Full-time · Half-time 0 - 0Malaga

Sep 20, 2026, 12:00 UTCColiseum Alfonso Pérez · Getafe

Outcome prediction matched

Pre-match prediction:: Getafe to win
Actual outcome:: Getafe to win

Exact score matched

Most likely pre-match score:: 1 - 0
Actual score:: 1 - 0

Match event timeline

Latest event first

90+4'
Substitution
Getafe · Martin Satriano · Assist: David Cordón Mancha
89'
Substitution
Malaga · Juan Berrocal · Assist: Juan Cruz
89'
Substitution
Getafe · Iván Azón · Assist: Saba Sazonov
85'
Goal
Getafe · Iván Azón · Assist: Martin Satriano
74'
Substitution
Malaga · Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz · Assist: Ramón Enríquez
68'
Yellow Card
Getafe · Ramón Terrats
Foul
67'
Substitution
Malaga · Dani Lorenzo · Assist: Pablo Martínez Andrés
67'
Substitution
Malaga · Joaquín Muñoz · Assist: Carlos Ruiz Rubio
65'
Substitution
Getafe · Dakonam Ortega Djené · Assist: Orel Mangala
58'
Yellow Card
Getafe · Francho Serrano Gracia
Foul
54'
Yellow Card
Getafe · Nemanja Gudelj
Foul
45+5'
Yellow Card
Malaga · David Larrubia
Foul
45'
Substitution
Malaga · Eneko Jauregi · Assist: Adrian Nino
39'
Yellow Card
Malaga · Eneko Jauregi
Persistent Infringement
21'
Yellow Card
Getafe · Johan Mojica
Foul

Key match statistics

GetafeMalaga

45%Possession55%

7Shots on Goal4

20Total Shots11

5Corners9

16Fouls16

4Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

267Accurate Passes354

12Inside Box6

8Outside Box5

4Blocked Shots5

15Free Kicks14

Prediction evidence & recordPre-match record · independently reviewable

Why the model leaned Getafe

A model preference is not a guarantee of the result.

Generated: Sep 17, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Stored: Append-only log entry #969
Model version: ml-v2-r2

Scorelines are evaluated over 90 minutes plus added time, excluding extra time and penalties.